Source: http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2012/05/boe-agents-report-suggests-unemployment-due-to-rise/
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Source: http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2012/05/boe-agents-report-suggests-unemployment-due-to-rise/
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Source: http://www.lse.co.uk/blogs/expert/resident-ifa-blog/2dl3mh/
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Source: http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2012/05/robin-hood-backed-by-the-rich-backed-by-the-rest-says-new-poll/
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Source: http://www.pensionlawyerblog.com/get-with-the-rhythm
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Media, takeaway companies, gambling firms and supermarkets should do well
Which UK companies are likely to benefit from the Euro struggles?
Not, for once, the struggles to keep the eurozone together, but the sporting battles ahead in the Euro 2012 football championships in Poland and the Ukraine, which start in just over a week.
The event is apparently the third most watched global sporting event after the Olympics and football world cup. According to Trevor Green, UK equity fund manager at Aviva Investors, the Euro 2008 tournament in Switzerland and Austria made ?1.3bn in sponsorship and commercial revenues, and also had a positive indirect effect on the wider European economy. And heaven knows, another boost would certainly be welcome.
Looking at which UK companies could do well, Green said:
We expect these Championships to be even bigger [than 2008]. And with investors nervous and short term in their outlooks, it should not be underestimated how much any sign of a positive fillip from the tournament might help a company's share price.
He picked four sectors that he believed could benefit:
Media: ITV will be covering England's first and third group games and will also share the final with the BBC. The time zone is favourable for attracting good viewing figures, but of more importance is how long England stays in the competition. ITV recently posted encouraging figures that supported their share price, and the Euros should provide an additional and welcome boost to advertising spend.
Travel and Leisure: Although not all companies in this sector will benefit from the Euros, there is a very high correlation between high profile televised football matches and pizza sales. I see no reason why this should not be the case again this summer, and Domino's Pizza is one potential beneficiary. DP Poland is also an interesting play for exposure to pizza sales at the venues. This AIM quoted company has exclusive rights to Domino Pizza sales in Poland and currently has 12 outlets in Warsaw.
Gambling: There is no doubt that punters like to have a bet on who is going to win and who will be top scorer. Betting operators are much more innovative than in the past and "in running" internet bets will be a big opportunity for online operators such as Sportingbet.
General retailers: After the washout of April, supermarkets and DIY stores will be crossing their fingers for sunshine in June. There may only a couple of big barbeque weekends but "every little helps" right now for the likes of Kingfisher, owners of B&Q.
But he added that travel operators such as Tui Travel and Thomas Cook, already struggling with the current consumer downturn and online competition, could do without the distraction:
Potential customers will book late and could leave going away until later in the summer, putting huge pressure on travel companies' schedules.
Source: http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/marketforceslive/2012/may/30/aviva-euro-2012-beneficiaries
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David Cameron is fond of saying that u-turns are not a problem, they are actually a sign of strength and a government that listens to voters and is willing to change its mind.
He may be right: voters stuck with him through a spate of u-turns early in the government’s life – on selling off national forests, on GP commissioning, on sentencing. But today we have three in one day – will this now start to look like a government that doesn’t know what it’s doing?
The key may lie in the way in which the u-turn is handled. When he announced he was abandoning plans to offer 50 per cent discounts on sentences for offenders who offer guilty pleas, Ken Clarke united the House in laughter by telling MPs:
I have done a few u-turns in my time, and they should be done with purpose and panache when you have to do them.
This is exactly the way Clarke has gone about his u-turn today on secret courts.
Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ft/westminster/~3/5DO79D5rOCA/
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Source: http://www.nhspension.info/over-hyped-olympics-2/
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Since I launched my second blog in early 2011 to discuss risk management and investment best practices for a wider institutional audience beyond pension plans alone, I've seldom posted items in both places. Instead, I've tried to provide unique insights for employee benefit plan decision-makers on www.PensionRiskMatters.com and address broader regulatory, litigation and compliance issues on www.GoodRiskGovernancePays.com.
Today is an exception. I am reprinting my comments about risk management on both blogs because I believe so strongly in the importance of effective risk management as an integral component of investment governance. I hope you enjoy reading my comments, originally published on The Glass Hammer website. For those who are not familiar with the group, check out www.TheGlassHammer.com to learn about this award-winning blog and online community created for women executives in finance, law, technology and big business. See below or click on "Thought Leaders: Prioritizing Risk Management" to read the full text of this commentary about the benefits of risk mitigation well done and the costly consequences of inattention or sloppy practices.
Full Text:
Thought Leaders: Prioritizing Risk Management, July 14, 2011, 1:00 pm
Contributed by Susan Mangiero, PhD, Investment Risk Governance Consultant and Author
For those financial institutions which have yet to grasp the importance of identifying, measuring, managing, and monitoring risks on a comprehensive basis, time may not be on their side. Regulators and litigators alike are forcing change.
There are countless individuals who want better information from their service providers about risk and are prepared to vote with their feet if they don’t get good answers. After all, these institutional investors themselves are confronted with a bevy of new mandates that require transparency. The good news is that change opens the door to business opportunities. Enlightened organizations that have good processes in place and have nothing to hide can differentiate themselves from competitors. Providing clients with education and data tools offers yet another way for asset managers, consultants, banks, and advisors to forge stronger relationships with their pension, endowment, foundation and family office clients. On the flip side, those who are reluctant to explain how they manage their financial, operational and legal risks may lose clients or worse yet, could end up as defendants in a lawsuit.
Pay to play conflicts, questions about hidden fees, state and federal legislation and new accounting rules are a few of the forces at work to ensure that trillions of institutional dollars are in good hands. Effective investment stewardship is no longer a luxury. Recent surveys confirm that buy side decision-makers continue to emphasize governance and risk management for their organizations as well as providers of products and services. Institutional investors can ill afford to lose money after a tumultuous few years. Investment committee members who give short shrift to fiduciary duties could end up being investigated by regulators or sued. According to federal court data, the number of ERISA lawsuits is going up. Factor in investment arbitrations, enforcement actions and “piggyback” securities litigation allegations and it is clear that unhappy investors are not going to accept the status quo.
Besides efforts underway by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) has proposed an expanded definition of who should serve as a fiduciary to ERISA employee benefit plans. If adopted, countless more professionals will be tasked with demonstrating procedural prudence when it comes to the investment of over $30 trillion in money from corporate retirement plan sponsors. States are likewise seeking change in the form of trust law reforms that tighten accountability for the investment of monies held by endowments, foundations and charities. The questions now being addressed by judges and arbitration panels relate to “excessive” risk-taking, insufficient diversification, absence of independent assessments of hard-to-value instruments and oversight failures that have led to large losses that might have been highly preventable.
One asset management firm recently settled with the SEC for $242 million over a mistake with one of its risk management models. Another firm just settled with the SEC for $200 million due to problems in the way subprime securities were marked. A few years ago, a Northeast pension plan was sanctioned by the DOL for not having thoroughly vetted valuation numbers provided by one of its hedge fund managers.
When I testified before the ERISA Advisory Council in 2008, I emphasized that having good valuation policies and procedures is essential because it impacts so many decisions having to do with asset allocation, hedging and fees paid.
Data analysis is a cornerstone of effective risk management but only if inputs are considered good. Garbage in, garbage out can be disastrous and costly. The use of unreliable, incomplete or inaccurate data points can result in bad decisions being made about measuring and controlling risks. Since risk
management is integral to investment management, other decisions such as portfolio rebalancing may be flawed as a result. Moreover, data is not created equal. Consider a few examples. Yields for a constant maturity security are not the same as yields on particular financial instruments with a fixed maturity date. Betas can be levered or unlevered. Mutual fund returns may not include all relevant fees, let alone the timing as to when the fees are charged. Hedge funds that utilize side pockets will report performance numbers that are skewed as a result. For an institutional investor that is trying to decide how to best manage risk or make sure that its service provider is properly controlling risk, one has to first measure the numerous risks that can spell trouble if left unchecked.
I’ve been fortunate to have worked on various projects where I had to thoroughly understand data quality exigencies before I could conduct statistical analyses that in turn were used for risk management or compliance purposes. While pursuing my PhD in finance, I took extra math and statistics courses to strengthen my data analysis skills. My doctoral research on trading patterns and market liquidity required extensive vetting of transaction data that was provided by the New York Stock Exchange. When I worked in the treasury department of a Fortune 500 company, I had to review and assimilate large amounts of data about a $200+ million derivative instrument portfolio in order to make recommendations about hedging strategies and risk monitoring technology functions. When I now serve as an expert witness on financial litigation matters, I spend copious amounts of time with relevant data to first understand what it means and then evaluate what could have been done differently to avoid losses. Data analysis is an important component of estimating economic damages that a judge or arbitration panel will review for settlement or award purposes.
Making decisions based on numbers alone is not the way the business world works. There are qualitative and quantitative risks that cannot be ignored but, of course, decisions and data do need to be aligned.
There is no sector of the investment management industry that is immune from risk management. Due diligence meetings increasingly focus on what asset managers, banks and other service providers are doing to manage their risks. Pension committee members are being asked to account for how they select managers and investments with more details about prudent process. Donors are reluctant to give money to non-profits without assurances that risks are under control. Auditors are tasked to ensure that models for hard-to-value instruments are regularly monitored for appropriateness. Board members and compliance officers are in the spotlight for their oversight of risk-taking and the extent to which investors are kept abreast about controls.
Risk management is an important means to an end. It is in everyone’s best interest to identify, measure, manage and monitor risks. Otherwise, it comes down to being lucky or not. Try explaining whim to investors, shareholders, taxpayers, litigators and/or regulators.
In addition to a plethora of articles about risk management and valuation, Susan Mangiero, PhD, CFA, FRM is the author of Risk Management for Pensions, Endowments and Foundations. She is busy at work on a new book about investment risk governance. Mangiero is the architect behind an award-winning, syndicated blog found at www.pensionriskmatters.com. A second blog found at www.goodriskgovernancepays.com focuses more broadly on investment risk governance for all types of institutional investors and their advisors and attorneys.
Source: http://feeds.lexblog.com/~r/PensionRiskMatters/~3/Ug6icgyRtL4/
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Here at Ballard Dale Syree Watson we often undertake benchmarking surveys across medical practices. They look at a range of financial data and provide a comparison between practices, allowing us to understand why some practices do better than others.
Recent results show that:
Source: http://nhslocal.nhs.uk/blogs/jeremy-syree/2011/08/benchmarking-%E2%80%93-do-you-know-where-you-stand
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